Time to look at the run in

We are sitting on 15th, 10 points from the drop zone and 18 points off sixth. The playoffs became unattainable some time back so now the focus is accumulating enough points to guarantee survival. That may not be as simple as it sounds. Our remaining fixtures include some fairly tricky games (aren't they all?):

PNE v QPR -0
QPR v Cardiff - 1
QPR v Barnsley - 1
Leeds v QPR -0
QPR v Rotherham - 3
Derby v QPR - 0
Villa v QPR - 1
QPR v Brighton - 0
Bristol City v QPR - 3
QPR v Wed - 1
QPR v Forest - 1
Norwich v QPR - 0

That's 10 points, giving us 50. Possibly not enough!
Anyone see it differently?
I don't actually think we're in serious danger of relegation but it might be tighter than is comfortable.
Of course there will be many strange twists and turns but thought it might be fun to see what you all think.

 

i think we,ll go unbeaten till the end of the season !!!!!!

 

Yeah but RTID, you are missing the fact that Holloway will soon get the squad to click, and we'll play some beautiful football toward the end of the season and win with ease. After all, as a Rangers fan, you have to learn to look on the bright side and believe in the impossible.

 

Well I hope you are right Sir!

 

Only 2 more wins??? Very pessimistic.

 

Tried to look at it with head, not heart but probably a bit too gloom and doom, especially after the valuable last two, confidence boosting back to back wins.
I have not looked at the run in for the strugglers below us and I dare say they are not much different.
I feel we owe Rotherham a tonking at LR for that painful away loss to the team rooted at the bottom and likely to stay there.
I think we may actually win at Brentford too once Olly gets them fired up for a proper local derby.

 

some unpleasant away trips in there - but for the first time in years we're actually performing better on the road. hopefully pick some points up there.

Also some grudge matches at home - glad we won those last two and have a bit of momentum. Might have been tricky otherwise.

 

I cannot, in any way shape or form, believe that we are not better than at least three teams this season.

 

We will survive................... mid table awaits us.

 

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"Always Look On The Bright Side Of Life" = 24 points (season total 64 pts)

PNE v QPR - 1
QPR v Cardiff - 3
QPR v Barnsley - 3
Leeds v QPR - 1
QPR v Rotherham - 3
Derby v QPR - 1
Villa v QPR - 1
QPR v Brighton - 1
Bristol City v QPR - 3
QPR v Wed - 3
*Brentford v QPR - 1
QPR v Forest - 3
Norwich v QPR - 1

 

What about Brentford Away! No mention of us playing them, 1 point.

 

Well spotted that man.

 

It is very difficult to accurately forecast our results. Just take a look at the BrixtonR predictions table to see how surprising the results may be, and how generally wrong we are with our predictions.

As mentioned above, I think our strength is to actually play the better teams. If we press high, maintain shape and play well on the counter attack we could actually surprise in some of these difficult home and away matches. To date, we actually have better results away from LR than at HQ.

I really do not see us in trouble after the last two wins. I hope that we can now focus on playing with confidence and develop our new style, so that we will be competitive for next season.

I would expect us to get around 15+ points from these games. If we go for it, it could be even 6 wins and 6 losses, but hopefully positive exciting and entertaining football.

 

Those fixtures don't look as daunting to me after the last few weeks.
Six points from the next 24 does appear unduly pessimistic.

 

If you look back at our last 10 games as a form guide I defy anyone to confidently predict the outcome of any of our remaining fixtures.The only real trends are that we're finding it tough at home (for reasons discussed elsewhere), we are vulnerable to under-performing teams but we are capable of being a real challenge for anyone in the division when it goes right. Generally the signs have been better of late and I think IH now has something very positive going on in the dressing room that's not quite matched by the quality of his squad.

 

A good summary there QPAAAARGH, since Xmas - Burton game apart - the signs have been good

 

Though we have a tough final month I'd be very disappointed with only 10 more points. We should be winning three of those six home games for a start.

 

Think we've got plenty more wins in us.

 

I think 50 points would be at least 4 points more than is required to avoid relegation, however I predicted a total of 55 before the Wigan match (predicted a win).

This is all based on results we already have achieved against sides from the same geographical area, although the criteria is considered differently for home & away games. No logic in using this, but I think you would be suprised how many times results fall into this pattern. The points I've allocated will leave us with a balanced record within the area. If we have already won & lost in an area, the remaiming match will be a draw etc.

Therefore, I am "very confident" in the following:-

PNE v QPR -1 (Lancashire away won & lost)
QPR v Cardiff - 0 (M4 corridor home won & drawn)
QPR v Barnsley - 1 (Yorkshire home won & lost)
Leeds v QPR -0 (Yorkshire away lost all four)
QPR v Rotherham - 3 (Yorkshire home won & lost)
Derby v QPR - 1 (East Midlands away drawn both)
Villa v QPR - 3 (West Midlands away won both)
QPR v Brighton - 0 ( Automatic promoted teams home lost)
Bristol City v QPR - 3 (M4 coridor away won both)
QPR v Wed - 0 (Yorkshire home won & lost)
Brentford v QPR - 3 (London away won)
QPR v Forest - 0 (East Midlands home lost both)
Norwich v QPR - 0 (East Anglia away lost)

The Forest result will be the reason they survive!

 

Peterborough were relegated with 54 points a few years back, just depends whether the stragglers pick up their form in desperation but I reckon we can muster enough to survive, if we don't we deserve to go down...