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Prediction League Predict points needed to win Premier league

Discussion in 'Liverpool' started by moreinjuredthanowen, Jan 15, 2019.

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What Point tally will win the Premier league this season

Poll closed Jan 22, 2019.
  1. LFC 97 & Man City 98

    11.1%
  2. 101

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. 100

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  4. 99

    11.1%
  5. 98

    11.1%
  6. 97

    11.1%
  7. 96

    11.1%
  8. 95

    22.2%
  9. 94

    11.1%
  10. 93 (or below)

    11.1%
  1. moreinjuredthanowen

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    Based on remaining 16 games

    LFC Max = 105 (linear for saint)
    City Max = 101

    Therefore anything over 102 is a waste in this poll

    Simple job.

    Look at remaining fixtures and predict points total that winner of Prem will be on at end.
     
    #1
  2. moreinjuredthanowen

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    my prediction is whoever wins it will need to get 99 points.

    For LFC that is 14 wins out of 16.
     
    #2
  3. jenners04

    jenners04 I must not post porn!

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    i think it will be close to a 100 needed.

    city have the squad, but we have the players.

    lets ****ing do this!
     
    #3
  4. LuisDiazgamechanger

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    Certainly it's not going to be over 100 points. We have 57 points now.
    Winning all remaining games 16x3= 48
    Total =105. I think 95 points is going to do it.
     
    #4
    carlthejackal likes this.
  5. moreinjuredthanowen

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    MAN city remaining fixtures

    20/01/2019 Huddersfield Town A PL
    26/01/2019 Burnley H FAC
    29/01/2019 Newcastle United A PL
    03/02/2019 Arsenal H PL
    10/02/2019 Chelsea H PL
    20/02/2019 Schalke 04 A CL
    23/02/2019 Everton A PL
    26/02/2019 West Ham United H PL
    02/03/2019 Bournemouth A PL
    09/03/2019 Watford H PL
    12/03/2019 Schalke 04 H CL
    16/03/2019 Manchester United A PL
    30/03/2019 Fulham A PL
    06/04/2019 Cardiff City H PL
    13/04/2019 Crystal Palace A PL
    20/04/2019 Tottenham Hotspur H PL
    27/04/2019 Burnley A PL
    04/05/2019 Leicester City H PL
    12/05/2019 Brighton & Hove Albion A PL

    I can only see 4 games (more likely 3) where there's any hope of city dropping points. (note league cup final or second leg is not in this list)

    If you award city just 2 draws in those 4... = 97 points for them.

    so 98 point for LFC = is still 14 wins from 16.

    Sat 19th 15:00 Crystal Palace H
    Wed 30th 20:00 Leicester City H
    February 2019
    Mon 4th 20:00 West Ham United A
    Sat 9th 15:00 Bournemouth H
    Tue 19th 20:00 Bayern Munich H
    Sun 24th 14:05 Manchester United A
    Wed 27th 20:00 Watford H
    March 2019
    Sat 2nd 15:00 Everton A
    Sat 9th 15:00 Burnley H
    Wed 13th 20:00 Bayern Munich A
    Sat 16th 15:00 Fulham A -
    Sat 30th 15:00 Tottenham Hotspur H
    April 2019
    Sat 6th 15:00 Southampton A
    Sat 13th 15:00 Chelsea H
    Sat 20th 15:00 Cardiff City A
    Sat 27th 15:00 Huddersfield Town H
    May 2019
    Sat 4th 15:00 Newcastle United A
    Sun 12th 15:00 Wolverhampton Wanderers H

    So the reality is We've 4 fixtures we cannot say we will get much from.
     
    #5
  6. carlthejackal

    carlthejackal Well-Known Member

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    One thing is certain. The record of the combined points tally for the winners and runners up will be smashed. Last season it was 181 a record. This season it could go to 190+.

    I think City will end up on 92. We will need 93 but we’ll end up with 99.
     
    #6
  7. LuisDiazgamechanger

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    I guess city are going to drop seven points and we are going to drop 9 or ten points .
     
    #7
  8. carlthejackal

    carlthejackal Well-Known Member

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    I hope that Newcastle don’t need a point to stay up in our last away match and we don’t need 3 points. That could be extremely nervy.
     
    #8
  9. moreinjuredthanowen

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    city on 92? that's be nice..... I can't see them dropping more than 4 more points unless they get to do final.
     
    #9
  10. Milnermino Lamborini

    Milnermino Lamborini Well-Known Member

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    Don't know about you but there is some weakness in City from a defensive point of view. This can be exploited by Chelsea and Spurs who also need the points ever since Manu got in the top 4 discussion. Same argument can be thrown an Liverpool but my argument is based solely on defensive solidity.
     
    #10

  11. LuisDiazgamechanger

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    Winning the big games may not necessarily win the title.
    Liverpool, city, are to face United before the end of the season, and there are some fixtures you cannot be certain of the outcome.All I know is that
    the title is for Liverpool to lose.
     
    #11
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  12. CPt-Marleau

    CPt-Marleau Active Member

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    I think 95 point for us will do it 2 losses and 2 draws. City will end up with 91 points hopefully
     
    #12
  13. carlthejackal

    carlthejackal Well-Known Member

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    This,

    All things being equal the title is ours unless we falter badly in the finishing straight.
     
    #13
  14. astro

    astro Well-Known Member

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    I reckon Man City are being overestimated

    If we win it, then I think we will be able to look at the table and say 90 points would have been enough (ignoring that us only being on for 91 points would have encouraged City more)
     
    #14
  15. LuisDiazgamechanger

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    What is the probability that city are going to retain the title? No team has retained the premiership title apart from Manchester united. City are
    in the premiership title chase, league cup, FA cup and the champion league, while Liverpool are in the premiership chase and in the champion league as well. Pep is going to break record by retaining the title while Liverpool are going to win 19th titles by winning it.
     
    #15
  16. moreinjuredthanowen

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    oh I would absolutely agree they cough up goals but when they are scoring 4 the other end.

    They can be got at if people try. my thing is mindsets are to not bother and be defensive and keep score down.

    we play Chelsea, spurs and Utd as well. coincidentally we are at home in first two as are then and they are also away to Utd.

    we need to at minimum match their results in these games. tough to do.
     
    #16
  17. moreinjuredthanowen

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    they are in a 2 horse race.
     
    #17
    Alisson Becker is N01 likes this.
  18. carlthejackal

    carlthejackal Well-Known Member

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    will that be a record? It’s been done before :bandit:
     
    #18
  19. LuisDiazgamechanger

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    But not by Manchester city????:bandit:.
     
    #19
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  20. carlthejackal

    carlthejackal Well-Known Member

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    Sorry. I thought you meant a premiership record.

    It’s not going to happen anyway. Confidence is high amongst our players and this time it feels different.
     
    #20

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