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The Systems Thread

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by NassauBoard, Apr 5, 2020.

  1. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Day 2 selections - A good few of these run against each other - lets hope that they don't prove too costly!!

    Time Course Horse
    14:30 Newcastle True Mason
    14:45 Kempton Science
    14:45 Kempton Host
    14:45 Kempton Golden Bear
    15:05 Newcastle Fools Rush In
    15:05 Newcastle Sound Reason
    15:05 Newcastle Lockdown
    15:20 Kempton Captivated
    15:40 Newcastle Isle Of Lismore
    15:40 Newcastle Andronicus Beau
    15:40 Newcastle Victory Heights
    15:40 Newcastle Obtuse
    16:15 Newcastle Aish
    16:15 Newcastle Navajo Spring
    16:15 Newcastle Electric Blue
    16:50 Newcastle Desert Vision
    16:50 Newcastle Hope Of Life
    16:50 Newcastle Spirit Of Sisra
    17:05 Kempton Malika I Jahan
     
    #161
  2. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Just a minor refinement needed to your system picks Nass
     
    #162
  3. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    <laugh> can you let me know your selections 48hrs in advance?
     
    #163
  4. attivo

    attivo Well-Known Member

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    Interesting stat put up by Hugh Taylor Edraak(16/1) takes Burrows to Appleby switch to 3 from 3 following Kasbann (5/1) & Mithqaal(14/1) both owned by the Horse watchers
     
    #164
  5. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    I had a chat with someone who worked at Burrows yard, and lets just say that it doesn't surprise me that horses do well when switching from that yard. He is in an enviable position of training for one owner and I am surprised that he still gets the amount of horses that he does.

    Horse watchers have another one out first time for the yard, well worth a look.
     
    #165
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  6. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Very frustrating day with only Victory Heights winning at BSP of 9.4 (returned at 9.3 after commission). Some of the selections ran very good races and Science just got touched off and I had all but the winner in one of the later races.

    17 bets
    16 losers
    1 winner

    return -£5.7

    So two days done and running total +£5.64 to level £1 stake
     
    #166
    Last edited: Jun 2, 2020
  7. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Day 3

    Time Course Horse
    12:45 Yarmouth Zabeel Champion
    13:00 Kempton Lady Fanditha
    13:00 Kempton Agent Shiftwell
    13:20 Yarmouth Wadacre Galoubet
    13:55 Yarmouth No School Today
    13:55 Yarmouth Julie Johnston
    13:55 Yarmouth Enduring
    13:55 Yarmouth Power On
    16:15 Yarmouth Maydanny
    16:50 Yarmouth Mountain Dreams
    17:25 Yarmouth Morning Shadow
    17:25 Yarmouth Robert Guiscard
     
    #167
  8. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Can't complain at that Nass with 16 losers.
    What chance Born With Pride tomorrow? I've "lumped" on at 5/2. I lumped on Cold Front today <doh>
     
    #168
  9. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    I really like Born With Pride, could be very special, but its a tough race. The price looks pretty fair currently.

    Today was one of those days, glad losses were minimised. Tomorrow looks a good opportunity.
     
    #169
  10. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Day 3

    Two winners in

    Maydanny - 5.55 - 5.46 (after commission)
    Mountain Dreams - 4.30 - 4.24

    So returned 9.70 for a stake of 12
    Loss of £2.30

    So after 3 days - +2.34

    Interestingly tomorrow throws up too many horses, and it is the two year olds that have been costing the most of the profit. So the only two year olds being put forward are ones that fit into more than one system.
     
    #170

  11. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    13:00 Newcastle Bottom Bay
    13:15 Newmarket Sacred
    13:50 Newmarket Zamaani
    13:50 Newmarket Eye Of Heaven
    14:25 Newmarket Existent
    15:35 Newmarket Risk Of Thunder
    16:10 Newmarket Sunset Memory
    16:30 Newcastle Alpine Springs
    16:30 Newcastle Adaay Dream
    16:45 Newmarket I'm Available
    17:20 Newmarket Commander Han
    17:55 Newmarket Via Serendipity
    17:55 Newmarket Arbalet
    17:55 Newmarket Deep Intrigue
    17:55 Newmarket Asdaa
    18:15 Newcastle Ampney Red
    18:30 Newmarket Pactolus
     
    #171
  12. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    So a better day with

    Sacred winning at 14.5 - 14.22 commission
    Eye Of Heaven at 2.25 - 2.24 commission (two bets in race)
    Adaay Dream at 9.57 - 9.42 commission

    So returned 25.88 from 17

    £8.88 profit

    Moving the profit to £1 levels up to +11.22 (50 bets)
     
    #172
  13. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Time Course Horse
    12:55 Lingfield Coco Bear
    12:55 Lingfield Twentysharesofgrey
    12:55 Lingfield No Leci
    13:30 Lingfield Mark Of The Man
    13:30 Lingfield Lothian
    13:30 Lingfield Meant Two B
    14:05 Lingfield Mr Kiki
    14:25 Newmarket Keystroke
    14:25 Newmarket Breathtaking Look
    15:00 Newmarket Marie's Diamond
    15:00 Newmarket Lord Tennyson
    15:00 Newmarket Mythical Magic
    15:00 Newmarket Vale Of Kent
    17:00 Lingfield Badayel
    17:20 Newmarket Ricetta
    17:20 Newmarket Dawn View
    17:35 Lingfield River Nymph
    17:55 Newmarket Deep Intrigue
    17:55 Newmarket Alaadel
    18:30 Newmarket Equitation
     
    #173
  14. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Marie's Diamond won @ 17.06 (16.8 after commission)
    Badayal won @ 5.77 (5.68 commission)
    Ricetta won @ 2.47 (2.46 commission - due to two runners in race)

    Alaadel was a non runner

    so 19 bets

    returned 24.94 = +£5.94

    So after 69 bets +£17.16 to £1 level stakes (24% roi)
     
    #174
    Last edited: Jun 5, 2020
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  15. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Time Course Horse
    12:55 Newcastle Thunder Of Niagara
    13:15 Newmarket Royal Birth
    13:15 Newmarket Restless Rose
    13:15 Newmarket Street Parade
    14:25 Newmarket Magic Lily
    14:25 Newmarket Terebellum
    16:10 Newmarket Jalaad
    16:10 Newmarket Pinnata
    16:20 Lingfield Bilandy
    16:45 Newmarket Blown By Wind
    16:45 Newmarket Alemaratalyoum
    17:20 Newmarket Lazuli
    17:20 Newmarket Huraiz
    17:20 Newmarket Homespin
    17:55 Newmarket The Trader
    17:55 Newmarket Rise Hall
    18:40 Lingfield Good Time Charlie

    two horses in bold are double stakes as they fit into two systems
     
    #175
  16. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Thunder Of Niagara won at 11.00 (10.80 after commission)
    Terebellum won at 1.91 (was odds against last night but heyho - returned 1.91 as no commission on a loss in the race)
    Blown By Win won at 8.0 (7.82 after)
    The Trader won at 5.54 (5.45 after commission)

    So returned 25.98

    £19 staked - £25.98 returned - £6.98 profit to £1 level

    After today it stands +24.14 to £1 level stakes

    88 bets and 27% ROI
     
    #176
  17. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Time Course Horse
    13:05 Lingfield You've Charmed Me
    14:15 Lingfield Pawpaw
    14:25 Newmarket West End Charmer
    14:25 Newmarket Sky Defender
    12:55 Haydock Spiorad
    12:55 Haydock Harrovian
    16:00 Lingfield Led Astray
    12:55 Haydock El Ghazwani
    18:30 Newmarket Breathless Times
    18:30 Newmarket Daschas
    13:30 Haydock Bucephalus
    14:05 Haydock Fanny Logan
    14:40 Haydock Lord North
    15:50 Haydock Golden Melody
    15:50 Haydock Star Of Emaraaty
    16:25 Haydock Betsey Trotter
    16:25 Haydock Royal Intervention
    16:25 Haydock Nina Bailarina
    17:00 Haydock Garden Oasis
    17:00 Haydock Critical Time
    17:00 Haydock Dancing Rave
    17:35 Haydock Sudona
    18:10 Haydock Glorious Caesar
     
    #177
  18. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Considering the number of bets going on, 27% ROI is pretty amazing
     
    #178
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  19. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Yeah it’s going well, and to be honest if I’d have been braver I could have removed all the Stuart Williams horses today given the previous days form. However I feel that doing that would make it difficult to accept if one came in at big odds.

    The first 8 weeks are half price so I’m going to run it for two months and then re-evaluate. I’m aiming for anything over 15% ROI
     
    #179
  20. NDS

    NDS Well-Known Member

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    Quietly watching this Nass, you have put so much in to achieve what is
    so far a very good ROI - good luck for the months ahead.
     
    #180
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