Daily Racing Thread Friday 19th. November 2021

Good man - I’ll pick you a couple to avoid. I assume the ground will be unusually lively?

 

I think she’ll take all the beating

Bookies too though - 7/4 I saw just now

 

Sounds like an Agatha Christie novel

 

Gazboy says back the favs

 

Some Chepstow thoughts Nass:

12.00 - no comment, you'll know better than me

12.35 A trappy little contest with a few dodge-pots and two potentially unexposed lurkers from the Pipe and Tizzard stables. I think it is worth taking a chance on Beau Haze here - he was dropped back in trip for seasonal debut at Exeter and stayed on well for 3rd. The step back up in trip should be a positive, as will the conditions. Worth a little e/w dabble.

1.10 Tom George is really struggling at the moment so it is only a very tentative nod to Bannister. Dropped 3lbs to 122 after chase debut at Worcester where he was ridden very tenderly out the back, he jumped well that day and can hopefully take a step forward here for a yard desperate for winners.

1.45 The fav is very short and a chance is taken with Dan Skelton's War Call. He was 4th in a decent contest at Worcester last time and can step up on that to be competitive here.

2.20 The first of two very interesting legs of this maiden hurdle. Favourite Gaulois had a couple of placed efforts for Shark Hanlon in Ireland before moving to Paul Nicholls and having wind surgery - guaranteed to be thereabouts. Jetoile ran a fine 3rd at Cheltenham and the winner has since won again (although the 2nd was subsequently 7th off a mark of 117). Manothepeople should progress from his debut 5th if he settles better whilst The Street is an interesting debutant for Emma Lavelle and is related to Countrywide Flame on the dam side. The most fascinating runner for me though is Welsby. He won an Aintree bumper for Nicky Henderson 4 years ago and was subsequently off the track for 4 years. Having changed ownership and moved to Deborah Faulkner, he returned inauspiciously at Chepstow in October but left that form miles behind when finishing a fine 2nd to Mr Glass at the end of October.

2.55 Ballygoe was 3rd behind Mr Glass and Welsby last time so if Welsby goes well 35 minutes earlier it will be a good pointer to his chances here. The eyecatcher on breeding here is Young Butler, a half-brother to Put The Kettle On, who ran a decent 3rd over C&D last month and is fav this morning (short enough though at 11/8). Phillip Hobbs p2p winner Iceburgh Bay warrants respect as does Nicholls' Offyoupop but I'll stick with Ballygoe.

Have a smashing day Nass

 

Hope she is alright Nass - reached for the 3rd last and unseated (struggling as well I think - might well have been beaten?). She seemed to gallop off OK though