Ladbrokes trophy

My favourite race of the year at my local track. Would be interested to get people's thoughts on the race.

I originally backed remastered but have since cashed that out as he looks a doubtful runner due to the ground.

Have since backed the hollow ginge at 33/1. I can't find any trainer quotes but I assume is an intended runner. 2lb lower than when running on for 4th from to far back. Had no chance with handicap good thing cloth clap. But with similar ground and a decent ride, could be bang there. Hopefully won't be balloted out.

Appreciate anyones thoughts on the other Saturday races too. Thanks.

 

Yesterday I posted a message about the race.

It looks like it's not going to rain all week so there might be some last minute NRs. I'm looking forward to the race because I have a horse for Cheltenham that could run, although it looks difficult given the weather forecast.

 

The Hennessy looks set to be impacted by the weather, very little rain in the forecast so it will be watered ground which will mean people will either run their horses on ground that is unsuitable or they will withdraw them. It could be a very weak renewal.

I think a lot will depend on whether Henry DB runs Chris' Dream, who will be top weight off 162, if he doesn't run then the weights will go up a decent amount with Brahma Bull on 158 and then a whole host of runners on 154. If BB doesn't go either then it will be 8lbs hikes in the weights for the field.

Either way, it does look that Ireland will be holding the best hand for the race, with some very taking entries from over the water. It will be interesting to see if we hear more from Mullins et al before declarations. If we do, the market will change massively.

 

Would love to see Kitty’s Light win this. Still only a baby at 5 but has run some cracking races in his career. Definitely an unlucky loser in the old Whitbread last term and wants top of the ground. So really depends how much water goes on really.

 

My ‘dark horse’ for the Cheltenham Gold Cup is entered here (Eklat De Rire) but if there is not enough rain he may not run?
If the ground stays good I would love to see Kitty’s Light win for a stable that’s going places. Would be much deserved following what happened at Sandown in April.

 

That's the horse I was referring to in my comment. I have a 33/1 e/w bet for the Gold Cup.

 

Here's a few stats re the race. Since 1994 only 3 horses outside the 6 - 8YO age bracket have won, 9 of the last 10 winners had already run that season and in the last 10 years Mr Nicholls is 0/17 in the race and old boy Nige Twiston-Davies 0/12.

Most interestingly though if a horse does win the race on its seasonal bow you should take note. As 2 out of the last 3 horses to do so went on to win that same seasons CGC!

Personally, I've no strong opinions in this year's Ladbrokes Trophy but can I just say that if, my old fave, GUMBALL turns up in the 'lucky last' then he would be my best bet at Newbury on Saturday.