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LFC Stats and Analytics

Discussion in 'Liverpool' started by Jimmy Squarefoot, Nov 2, 2020.

  1. moreinjuredthanowen

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    Or the Brighton game 2-2 having lead 2-0.

    I was thinking of city results v top and bottom half and see where its different but that would take actual work when we know they ****ed it v palace and southampton.
     
    #801
  2. M!LK

    M!LK Well-Known Member

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    He is. 23 I think still counts as young. 24 isn't really a young player any more.
     
    #802
  3. M!LK

    M!LK Well-Known Member

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    That means we must have a better ratio against "the rest of the field".

    It's good City aren't playing a top 6 team on last day of season and neither are we. <ok>


    <laugh>
     
    #803
  4. moreinjuredthanowen

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    we have to. I just can't be arsed getting all of their results and ranking them up I do have the rest of the table though


    super league scum 6 v the rest
    Pos Team PL W D L F A Pts
    1 City 27 22 4 1 75 14 70
    2 Liverpool 26 22 2 2 70 14 68
    3 Arsenal 37 18 2 7 43 22 56
    4 Spurs 27 18 3 6 49 24 57
    5 Chelsea 26 16 6 4 58 21 54
    6 Utd 27 13 8 5 43 31 47

    As you can see IF we beat Southampton we go 1 point ahead of them.

    we have a total of 2 draws and 2 losses = 10 points dropped v non top 6 and they have dropped 11 with one game left

    We need to have dropped no more than 10 after next 2 and need them to have dropped 13 against the non top 6 teams.

    city 4 draws were west ham, palace, southampton, southampton and their one loss was v palace.

    Our 2 draws were brighton (top half) and brentford and two losses were leicester and west ham.



    V the top 6
    Spurs: city lost to spurs in nearly the first game and lost to spurs 3-2. we actually did better v spurs.
    Arsenal: city beat them twice. we beat them twice
    Utd: city beat them twice. we beat them twice
    we both drew out games

    chelsea: city won both 1-0 for 6 points. we only took the 2 points so thats the issue. cheslea ****ed us over basically.
     
    #804
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  5. moreinjuredthanowen

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    final league basics:

    Super 6 are re-established - how did man utd fall over that line... who knows but they did so there you go. the difference in GS and GC from the top 2 to the rest is stark and probably main reason the league is not that competitive at the very top but quite competitive form 3rd to 17th.
    upload_2022-5-23_13-12-7.png

    the mini table: - City won this by 5 points. i double checked this again. they basically drew with us and lost to spurs and beat cheslea twice. we drew with chelsea and spurs twice. the others were beating each other.
    upload_2022-5-23_13-16-24.png

    Against the rest:
    LFc actually won this by 4 points. our only losses were against these sides.
    upload_2022-5-23_13-18-8.png

     
    #805
  6. moreinjuredthanowen

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    Top half v Bottom half:

    Bottom half first:
    Games played 20
    Goals scored 54
    Goal conceded 8
    Games won 19
    Games drawn 1
    Games lost 0
    Win ratio 95%
    Draw ratio 5%
    Loss ratio 0%
    Goals per game 2.70
    Goals conceded per game 0.40

    that's a hockeying in anyone's language

    Top half:
    Games played 18
    Goals scored 38
    Goal conceded 17
    Games won 9
    Games drawn 7
    Games lost 2
    Win ratio 50%
    Draw ratio 39%
    Loss ratio 11%
    Goals per game 2.11
    Goals conceded per game 0.9

    Again pretty good but this is where the draws and results where focused. 6 draws v top 6 sides (city, chelsea and spurs) 1 v brighton from winning position. Losses to west ham and leicster.
     
    #806
  7. moreinjuredthanowen

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    Blocks performance. Pretty clear distinction between first and second half of season TBH.
    upload_2022-5-23_13-24-21.png
     
    #807
  8. moreinjuredthanowen

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    upload_2022-5-23_13-25-48.png
    I think this is fairly clear that its being mean at the back and scoring "enough" that's got us to 92 points. the trend on goals scored has been down single January as well but the defence improved as well.



    The funny thing is the old stereotypical 90 points for title and 70 for CL holds true. is +/- 3 points again.

    70 would have done arsenal this year. 69 was what we got last year and took 4th.

    90 is a massive total and having two sides fighting at that level in 3 of last 4 season is reminiscent of real v barca 10 years ago. it didn't last there and it won't last here imo. 90 for a title is a good target imo.
     
    #808
  9. InBiscanWeTrust

    InBiscanWeTrust Rome, London, Paris, Rome, Istanbul, Madrid
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    Problem is, out of the 2 teams I think were more likely to fade away than city. Klopps new deal is obviously massive but next 2 years coukd be a rebuilding job with mane Salah firmino potentially coming to the end. Hendo will be 32/33, vvd will be similar. The rebuilding of the core of our squad needs to be looked at next year or two, don’t want to get into United territory where Ferguson left and completely ignored the weaknesses in that squad.

    City on other hand will just continue spending. Obviously if and when pep goes, they’ll have to find a man to replace him but having a lot of money will help them ease into job. When klopp finally leaves need to hope he’s left a squad in place for the new man, and that he is backed
     
    #809
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  10. moreinjuredthanowen

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    Thats very true. Its a major effort to sustain that level over time without the masses of dosh thrown at it.

    City might get into trouble with superstar syndrome once pep le stink leaves.

    The one thing you can say about pep, he only allows HIS ego in there, nobody else. I just refuse to believe the Ronaldo, pogba etc etc rumours. if city really wanted anyone they would get them. haaland is arriving and i hope is is an absolute crock.

    for our squad the thing is its only this year that the squad has actually been strong.

    In theory we have the first 11 almost sorted going forward.

    alisson
    trent konate vvd roberston
    elliott fabinho X
    Salah jota diaz

    you only want that LCM and then only vvd is 30.

    the squad game though make this hard as Gomez won't want to hang round and henderson and those need replacing.

    I was almost laughing at werner and henry turning up. They were there for the cup finals but they really are archetypical absentee landlords. LFC pays LFC's way. The end.

    their commerical work and lack of fingers in the pie helps us but they are no sugar daddies. They have grown the business side to compete but the club has to pay its own way and go do things better than others. smarter, not just richer.

    This is where utd have fallen down. they pile cash at it with no clue what they are at and hope. The thing is they change manager and fans thing this time it'll be different. LFC was not only klopp. it was 5 years of learning prior to klopp and hard lessons at that.
     
    #810

  11. Jimmy Squarefoot

    Jimmy Squarefoot Well-Known Member

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    Darwin compared to Mane, Salah, Jota and Diaz before they joined LFC:

    Nunez profiles very well and can definitely scale up once he joins ...

    please log in to view this image


    please log in to view this image
     
    #811
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  12. moreinjuredthanowen

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    forget the X whatevers. look a the scope for klopp turning this lad into a pressing monster. he's got how many goals without actually being in a side that will win that ball high up. compare to salah.... VERY similar. Salah absolutely exploded when he got under klopp. jota absolutely exploded. This kid is going to enjoy this season
     
    #812
  13. Jimmy Squarefoot

    Jimmy Squarefoot Well-Known Member

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    One standout for Nunez is his unusually high shot accuracy - Nunez has a shot accuracy of 49% in his entire club career (291 shots)

    Only a very short list of players can better that as per fbref:

    Mbappe
    Haaland
    Ben Yedder
     
    #813
  14. jaffaklopp

    jaffaklopp Well-Known Member

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    Can he take a freekick? Anyone but Trent
     
    #814
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  15. Jimmy Squarefoot

    Jimmy Squarefoot Well-Known Member

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    Chart to show the players with the best high value pressing - meaning when they press, does it lead to a shot, goal or counter attack.

    It shows just how good Fabinho is as a our DM with Thiago and Naby being incredibly efficient. Mane is a big loss from the front 3 but that was something that coached into him when he joined LFC and hopefully we can do the same with Diaz.

    please log in to view this image
     
    #815
  16. InBiscanWeTrust

    InBiscanWeTrust Rome, London, Paris, Rome, Istanbul, Madrid
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    Milner showing how efficient he is. Only pressed when it leads to a chance.

    Elliott maybe showing why he wasn’t played as much second half. Still some tactical work to be done there.
     
    #816
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  17. Jimmy Squarefoot

    Jimmy Squarefoot Well-Known Member

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    Yep Milner very effective when he wins the ball (unfortunately doesn't;t happen enough!).

    Elliot is a very high volume pressure but needs to work on his efficiency. I'm sure it will come in time.
     
    #817
  18. Nozzer

    Nozzer Well-Known Member

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    Which dot is Jones and who is the other dot?
     
    #818
  19. moreinjuredthanowen

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    Bar the fact that Elliott hardly played so it's not apples with apples.

    The quality of stat of fabinho is high and for the 3 main forwards but guys who rarely play or are put on later in games where pressing might not be as desired means it's not really comparible.

    One thing to think about is that a successful central press or at least in the lines of the pen area is much more likely to yield a chance than a press out wide where another pass would be needed.
     
    #819
  20. saintKlopp

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    Talking of stats, I've only just noticed that you've got over 100k posts on here. That's some going, mate - especially with the amount of stuff you put into them.
    You deserve a
    please log in to view this image
     
    #820
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