Off Topic 2023/2024 EPL TITLE ODDS !

Perhaps.

15 points behind Arsenal with 24 games left. That gap is catchable. As is the gap to City if City had a bad season.

28/1 is slightly reasonable if you only look at gap to City. Or only look at gap to Arsenal. When you look at all the other teams above us and close to us which also would need to screw up, or all of them had to drop points compared to us. That's when 28/1 seems silly.

I don't think 100/1 is too ludicrous though. If we won every remaining game we could probably win the title still. I think it's unlikely, but probably not more than 100/1 chance we re-click over the next month or so, and maybe even make some good signings.

1% chance of duplicating some of our mega winning runs of the last few years isn't unreasonable.

 

The gap is the gap.

The state of our defense and midfield is the issue.

If we were to win 20 in a row at the restart I'm sure the gap will shrink quite a lot but it's not about the other clubs. It's about can lfc do that when they cannot run in midfield for 90 and get tackles in.

 

...Yes, but remember we're signing Bellingham and Mbappe in January and Ahmed is yet to start...

This team is only a year older than the team that did a lot of running, played a record number of games, finished second and got three finals last year. It looks pretty bad so far this year (and in all honesty looked pretty bad end of last season too despite dropping few points)...

Yeah. We're not winning the league, and I'm still sticking with 5th as my prediction, maybe 4th... But I also say 1% chance of finding previous form and other teams not being ludicrously good too is reasonable.

85 points would take the title this season.

 

yeah... cos that'll make all the difference.

The odds are not the probability of an event they are the levels set to attract business based on risk. 28/1 reflects a lot of lfc money still going in on bets whereas clearly man utd fans have given up so need to be attracted to bet.

Only the dleuded as you point out in your own view of our likely result would bet on LFc to win the league at 28/1

 

oh and i forgot.

85 points?

14 game splayed and city on 32 points = very simple, city could and should get 87 points.

arsenal could get 100 point should their miracle form continue.

Arsenal are doing a Liverpool 2019/2020 (almost)

yes 85 could happen just like when Leicester won the thing cos city just never came on as expected as the seaosn progressed. Leicester had no challenge and fell over the line on 81. Arsenal could be the new leicester, but that depends on thier europa league distractions. I think they can get 90points.


We all need to think baout this.

LFC need 2 points per game just to get to 70. Thats a big enough ask for any side (IMO)

 

WILLIAM HILL'S TITLE ODDS AS AT TODAY.

Manchester City 4/9
Arsenal 2/1
Newcastle United 5/1
Liverpool 33/1
Manchester United 50/1
Tottenham 66/1
Chelsea 200/1
https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/winner

 

spurs 5 points ahead of us but double the odds?

 

Yeah but its Spurs....

 

We also have a game in hand.

 

In the year Leicester won it, Spurs managed to come third in a two horse race

 

You reckon they will come 6th this time?

 

hope so.

 

WILLIAM HILL'S TITLE ODDS AFTER LEICESTER GAME

Manchester City 2/5
Arsenal 9/4
Newcastle United 25/1
Liverpool 28/1
Manchester United 50/1
Tottenham 66/1
Chelsea 200/1
Premier League Winner Betting Odds | Football | Oddschecker

 

WILLIAM HILL'S TITLE ODDS AFTER MERSEYSIDE DERBY

Manchester City 10/11
Arsenal 11/10
Newcastle United 150/1
Liverpool 500/1
Manchester United 50/1
Tottenham 750/1
Chelsea 750/1
https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/winne

Note; Manchester City are still odds favourites to win the title.

 

Seems to me theres a massive massive game on wednesday.

City win means both teams will be on 51 points with arsenal holding a game in hand.
A draw puts arsenal to 52 and city on 49 but with arsenal game in hand - good position.
A arsenal win put them to 54 points and having game in hand over city on 48

Its pretty clear to me at least that utd at 50/1 on 46 points would need that draw as they will also have played a game more than l'arse. its not impossible but its a long shot.

who the **** bet so much on newcastle to put them on 150/1. fools and money eh?

tottenham on 750/1 says it all. they are the closest other team but even at that their hfans don't beleive preseason. LFC fans as normal will have stuck moeny on in august and that impacts the 500/1 but it might as well be 5,000,000 to 1.

 

500/1 worth a punt laugh. Should be 5000/1 at this point.

 

WILLIAM HILL'S TITLE ODDS AFTER UNITED GAME
Arsenal 10/11
Manchester City 21/20
Manchester United 40/1
Liverpool 200/1
Newcastle United 250/1
Tottenham 750/1
Brighton and Hove Albio 1000/1
Chelsea 1000/1
https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/winner

 

WILLIAM HILL'S TITLE ODDS FOR THE NEW SEASON.

Manchester City 4/7
Liverpool 8/1
Arsenal 8/1
Manchester United 10/1
Chelsea 16/1
Newcastle 16/1
Tottenham 50/1
Brighton 66/1
Aston Villa 100/1
West Ham 250/1
Brentford 400/1
Wolverhampton 500/1
Everton 500/1
Fulham 750/1
Crystal Palace 500/1
Nottingham Forest 1000/1
Bournemouth 1000/1
Burnley 1000/1
Sheffield United 2500/1
Luton 2500/1
Premier League Winner Betting Odds | Football | Oddschecker
# I can see Luton and Sheffield United struggling so also Burnley.