Match Day Thread General matchday thread.

Do you really believe in luck?
There is no luck, it's all about the numbers.

 

Embarrassing for a defensive side to not have a better GD than us this season.

 

Luck is a massive factor. Stats don’t tell the full story but they do tell you that Newcastle are pretty ****. Sometimes they’re **** and still get a result.

 

I always thought it was either motivational with him or judging by the ridiculous amount of injuries we had every season that it’s his training methods causing fatigue.

 

Over 38 games?

 

Yes.

 

Very rarely is it a big enough factor to affect your leave position imo, you finish where you deserve to finish 95% of the time.

 

It’s impossible to judge definitively but expected goals is as close as you can reliably get to suggesting who is lucky and unlucky.

 

Are you Irish?
You really believe in luck?

 

I'm still not convinced by expected goals tbh. Not my cup of tea at all.

 

I believe in chance. It makes little sense that chance would magically balance out over any period of games just as you’re unlikely to toss a coin 38 times and get 19 of each outcome.

 

Heathen.

 

Didn't realise you were such a stat man

 

Oh, **** off. Chance ffs!
Mathematics.

 

When I can be arsed to be but love stats in general not just football.

 

I believe teams will generally finish where they deserve too. They might get lucky in one or two games but generally over a season that will balance out.

 

It’s for the Astro type millennial armchair knobheads.

 

And bookmakers.

 

Expected goals is a retrospective stat, so not really.

I’d suggest bookies go on goals scored rather than that subjective bollocks.

 

It’s become a significant part of their analysis.