Daily Racing Thread Tuesday 12th. January 2021

Tuesday's Meetings

Fairyhouse
N/H 8 Races 11:50-3:30p.m.
Wetherby
N/H 7 Races 12:30-3:40p.m.
Lingfield
A/W 7 Races 12:40-3:50p.m.
Newcastle(E)
A/W 7 Races 3:25-6:30p.m.

Racecards
At The Races
Racing Post
Sporting Life

Good Luck

 

Newcastle 17.00 All-Weather Championships Fast-Track Qualifier
ORNATE. I am keeping the faith with this speedball who seems to barely stay 5f. His top speed rating is 100, higher than anything else in the race; and that was against Battaash at Goodwood last summer (when finishing only a neck behind Glass Slippers, effectively at level weights). He was just touched off in this race 2 years ago and his only other race at this track since was when 3rd to Caspian Prince in June. Venturous (2/1 fav tomorrow) was a neck in front of Ornate in that race, receiving 10 lbs from Ornate. Disappointed he is as low as 6/1 given it's 20 runs since his last win but this could be his turn. He has had only 5 wins in the last 2 years, each time ridden by P Dennis who rides him tomorrow. I am really waiting for him to race over 5f at Catterick on fast ground but he is in with a chance here if he can hold on to the lead with less weight than he has been carrying of late

 

Morning

2.05 Wetherby-The King Of May

Each Way @ 11-2 [Bet 365]

Can give the Skelton hot pot a race

 

Wetherby 12:30 Very Patient

Should be suited by todays slow ground and stable amongst the winners recently.

 

Took a good look at this one myself Ron . I have to side with the fav Venturous though as they have beat ornate twice over c/d the jockey booking is interesting on Venturous they are 1/1 . Good luck though

 

1:00 The forums favourite corinthian has taken time out from dentistry to ride Lust For Glory. She is a horse I like and I think she is a better horse than those in opposition here. Her chase run last time was good and she finished further back than likely given she tried to put it up to Messire Des Obeaux. I am surprised she isn't the favourite and I think she will win nicely today.

 

At the ant, sorry decs, stage he also had Dame de Compiegne entered in this heat. Cor blimey am I looking forward to her chasing bow.

Lust for Glory was bought out of the Grech/Parkin dispersal sale for a whopping £235k. She hasn’t won since but hopefully can remedy that malady this afternoon.

The great man’s Tweed Skirt (that’s the name of his filly in the bumper at the same meet, incidentally, not a new piece of apparel he’s recently purchased) is also of interest today. Very nicely bred by Presenting and the dam was Listed placed in bumpers and Grade 2 placed over hurdles for old boy, Alan King. And I must say, team. Tweed Skirt, what a lovely name for a filly.

 

Wouldn’t back either of his runners today as I think both are plenty short enough (currently 6/4 and 5/6). The fact that they are though shows the market still has confidence in the yard.

Certainly wouldn’t be put off though if I really liked one (at the prices) from Seven Barrows – and let’s not forget, at the time of writing, his last runner was a winner.

I see at the weekend we are ‘Pertemps Qualifying’ again. Champagne Platinum a possible. Though surely if he goes connections will be looking for that elusive 6th place rather than a runaway win. Nudge, nudge and all that…

 

Yard form? You aren’t believing the rubbish the great man put out in the media about horses running below their level?

 

DATE POS. SP JOCKEY RPR DIFF
11Jan21
Don 2m½fGS C5NHF 2K 1/12 by nse, Wiseguy 10/11F N De Boinville 110 —
11Jan21
Don 3m2fGS C4NvHcCh 4K PU/11 Post War 16/1 N De Boinville — —
11Jan21
Don 2m½fGS C4NvH 4K 6/16 btn 33L, Duke Of Chalfont 14/1 N De Boinville 94 —
11Jan21
Don 2m5fGS C5MdH 3K 4/16 btn 31L, Scarpia 20/1 J McGrath 102 9
11Jan21
Don 2m5fGS C5MdH 3K 2/16 btn 29L, Valsheda 9/2 N De Boinville 104 —
10Jan21
Exe 3mSft C3HcCh 9K 5/12 btn 8L, Ballycross 25/1 Mr B Aprahamian7 129 1
09Jan21
Kem 2m5fSft C1HcHL 16K PU/20 Glynn 6/1 N De Boinville — —
09Jan21
Kem 2m5fSft C1HcHL 16K 13/20 btn 37L, The Cashel Man b 50/1 J McGrath 112 -32
09Jan21
Kem 2m5fSft C1HG2 17K 4/7 btn 14½L, Call Me Lord 12/1 J Bowen 144 -11
09Jan21
Kem 2m5fSft C1HG2 17K 2/7 btn 2¼L, On The Blind Side p 11/1 N De Boinville 153 1
09Jan21
Lin 1m4fSt/Slw C4Hc 5K 9/9 btn 9¼L, Fraser Island v 6/1 J Mitchell 67 -12
09Jan21
Kem 2m4½fGS C3HcCh 7K 2/8 btn 1L, Pistol Whipped 7/2 N De Boinville 140 1
09Jan21
Kem 2m4½fGS C3HcCh 7K 7/8 btn 25L, Theinval p 14/1 J McGrath 123 -22
09Jan21
Kem 3m½fSft C3NvH 6K 8/9 btn 56L, It Sure Is p 6/1 N De Boinville 70 -49
08Jan21
Lin 2mSt/Slw C4NHF 3K 2/9 btn ½L, El Kaldoun 9/4J J McGrath 92 -34
08Jan21
Lin 2mSt/Slw C4NHF 3K 4/9 btn 1¾L, Barbados Blue 3/1 N De Boinville 84 -43
08Jan21
Lin 2mSt/Slw C4NHF 3K 2/5 btn 2½L, Mengli Khan t 11/10F N De Boinville 131 -20
08Jan21
Lin 2mSt/Slw C4NHF 3K 1/8 by 1¼L, Whitlock 5/1 N De Boinville 88 1
08Jan21
Lin 2mSt/Slw C4NHF 3K 7/7 btn 62L, Chasamax 7/2 N De Boinville 64 -57
08Jan21
Lin 2mSt/Slw C5NHF 2K 2/14 btn 1L, Diva's Mix 5/2F N De Boinville 84 —
02Jan21
San 3mSft C2HcCh 43K PU/15 Gold Present 33/1 N De Boinville — —
02Jan21
San 3mSft C2HcCh 43K 8/15 btn 35L, Valtor 8/1 D Jacob 118 -35
29Dec20
Don 2m½fHy C43yMdHM 4K 1/9 by 2¼L, Progressive 5/4F N De Boinville 104 —
29Dec20
Don 2m4½fHy C1ChLM 23K 4/7 btn 27L, Casablanca Mix p 4/1 N De Boinville 127 -24
29Dec20
Nby 2m6½fSft C3NvHcCh 10K 2/8 btn 7½L, Dickie Diver 100/30 A Coleman 144 —
29Dec20
Don 2m3½fHy C4NvH 4K PU/8 Arcadian Pearl 11/1 N De Boinville — —
29Dec20
Nby 2m½fSft C4H 4K 2/12 btn 1¼L, Cascova 9/1 J McGrath 121 —



Don't see much wrong with that form!

 

Do those minuses at the end (eg Chasamax -57) represent a drop in form Nass?

 

Yes a positive is running above their RPR and a negative is running below their RPR.

 

These don't look look brilliant

 

Oh its not brilliant but he is ticking over, its not as if he isn't having any winners or horses running well. 2 winners and 6 2nds from 21 runners this month isn't terrible. If his two win today (being pretty short in the markets) it will be 4 from 23 which will be close % wise to his record throughout the winter.

MONTH WINS RUNS % 2ND 3RD 4TH TOTAL EARNINGS £1 STAKE
January 2021 2 21 10 6 0 3 £20,330 -13.09
December 2020 15 74 20 14 8 9 £254,426 +18.46
November 2020 19 85 22 10 10 8 £249,082 -16.44
October 2020 9 53 17 10 5 2 £97,436 -24.46

 

If only we could eliminate those that are clearly running well below form, for whatever reason.

As I have said before Nass, that is an exceptional data mining tool you have there

 

That is just the Racing Post!

 

Ah. Is that the (paid for) membership version?