Daily Racing Thread Saturday 28th. Nov. 2015

Saturday's Meetings

Fairyhouse
N/H 8 Races 11:40-3:25p.m.
Newcastle
N/H 7 Races 12:00-3:15p.m.
Newbury
N/H 7 Races 12:15-3:35p.m.
Doncaster
N/H 7 Races 12:20-3:40p.m.
Bangor-on-Dee
N/H 7 Races 12:35-3:50p.m.
Wolverhampton (E)
A/W 8 Races 5:45-9:15p.m.

Racecards
At The Races
Racing Post
Sporting Life

Good Luck

 

Provisional TTF Competition alerts. Hopefully you can click on the name for more details

TOP NOTCH (FR)
THISTLECRACK
SAPHIR DU RHEU
SPLASH OF GINGE
THE YOUNG MASTER
THE DRUIDS NEPHEW (IRE) NR

 

I'm off to bangor on Saturday - all tips , ideas for a winner welcomed - many thanks lads

 

Let's hope she enjoys it Ekbalco. Have a great day.

 

Not a very inspiring card but I see the going is "heavy" and therefore many of these will be struggling. At a quick run through the card I would say that Final Nudge will be race fit and won easily in this sort of ground. He would be my choice,

Ready Token should win IF he handles the ground. But The Don should have a better handle on this one, being trained by Longsdon

 

Or stick as its owned by Foxtrot!

 

Ok stick spill your guts mate

 

The Hennessy is a load of crap. Only two interesting angles for me - Saphir Du Rhea wins - Gold Cup prospect. If In Doubt wins - Don Poli's RSA finally gets a boost.

 

Looking at the field for the Hennessy Gold Cup at 3.00, the going is described as soft but bound to be heavy when the race starts. Bob's Worth has won it's last three races on "soft" but how will he cope with heavy going? Saphir Du Rheu has won all his completed starts over fences and has won twice on heavy, but I'm not prepared to back him shouldering top weight (would rather back Smad Place as Alan King said he hasn't made the mistake of running him without a prep race in last season's Hennessy) so looking for each way value. First Lieutenant cannot be discounted on his best Grade 1 form in chases, but Urano (trained by Willie Mullins) is who I'll be backing each way as he's a mudlark although I'll be somewhat surprised if he wins as others have much better form. All his six wins were on soft or heavy going, and was beaten by a short head over 3 miles on heavy in the Kerry National in September.

As for the Long Distance Hurdle, Whisper should appreciate the going more than Cole Harden (who's had corrective treatment with his breathing!) and he'll be in my multiple bets. Ruby Walsh will ride Wicklow Brave in the Fighting Fifth at Newcastle (his only other ride is on Jonniesofa in the 1.00), and Bryan Cooper rides Identity Thief for Gigginstown (he's given up the opportunity to ride Tombstone and Nambour at Fairyhouse!) in the same race and represents better value.

I'll be keeping an eye on the two maiden hurdles at Fairyhouse, in the 1.10 Pylonthepressure takes on Tombstone, it wouldn't surprise me to see them both in novice hurdles at Cheltenham Festival but the latter has a fitness advantage and won comfortably at Down Royal on it's last run. The unbeaten Nambour should win the 1.40 but Dermot Weld trained Timiyan was stepped up to 12 furlongs on it's final two starts on the flat and won them both (Racing Post Spotlight: Extremely interesting recruit to the jumps game, having won his last two on the Flat in 2014; currently rated 100 in that sphere and cost connections a whopping E470,000 last year; fair absence to overcome though), so it won't be a stroll in the park for the selection. Willie Mullins trained Tarare is returning from an absence of 993 days in the finale, but won it's only start in a point so another horse I'll keep a close eye on.

 

Stunning days racing across both sides of the water. Really excited by Gigginstowns 2 maiden hurdlers at Fairyhouse, Tombstone 7/4 and Nambour 10/11. Short prices but the later should be 1/2 imo, Krugermac was beaten easily by him at Punchestown last spring and he hacked up for the Moores last week at Ascot. He's a racing certainty

 

Ok Morky and Ek, the one to be on at Bangor is TIPPMANBOY, beast they reckon!

 

Having a quick look over the cards tomorrow it looks very competitive. My idea of winners would be the 2 x Du Rheu brothers, Top Notch to have come on for the run and get the better of Irving.
Really looking forward to Ibis tomorrow, up in trip and following a very similar path to Saphir's 2nd hurdling season. He won off 130 when upped in trip and improved with every run since, Ibis runs off 131 tomorrow.
Lough Kent is surely a winner without a penalty in the final race - Cruised to the lead in the open weekend but made a mistake at the last and weakened due to a lost iron.

 

Lough Kent hit two out and faded very badly after the last. He may win tomorrow but I'm not at all confident about him. I'm a fan of Pearl Legend and hope he can finally win a good race.

If only Pipes yard were in better form, I'd be going strongly on La Vaticanne. However it's Virak tomorrow that gets my pound coin.

 

Do you own a piece of that as well stick? Sorrty, I assumed, you only had Present Trend with Longsdon; and I thought that she had moved (aithough RP still has her trained by Longsdon and owned by Foxtrot). What is the NH situation now re who owns a piece of what? I'm losing track in my old age

 

Few people we're asking recently about Mullins seemingly overhyped Alvisio Ville. Makes his debut over fences in the first at Fairyhouse. Everyone was raving about his prospects over fences last year, due to the huge frame of the beast, so let's see if he's as good as they thought he was last year. He's 5/4 which means I'll happily have a watching brief. Unlike some of these novice chases there's some strength in depth to it with it possible to make cases for a few not least Champagne James of Ted Walsh's who got a few 'unusual' rides last year. If the favourite can put them to the sword in style it'll be a case of him getting cut for something like the JLT.

 

Slowly warming to Ned Stark in the Hennessey. The way conditions have gone, this stamina test should bring out the absolute best in him and he is bang at the right end of the handicap.

Saphir Du Rheu will go close but the handicap might just be enough to narrowly deny him.

Fingal Bay, if he can get round healthy, has a brilliant racing weight off 144 and the stamina test should reverse placings with Smad Place, who was always going to be too smooth for him at 2 and a half miles round Kempton!

 

Tough with deep Winter ground,as Ron alluded to.

Goohar in the 1.00 looks to have a very decent shout (5/2 with PP) and Bernardelli in the 1.35 is risky upped in trip after a moderate seasonal debut but at 7/1 might be worth a go,even e/w with the dead 8 runnersin case he doesn't quite get home.

Have a great day out but bring the waterproofs..shocking forecast but us jumping folk are well used to it..keeps the riff raff away!!

All about Killer Crow for me this Weekend..3.10 Fairyhouse Sunday off a very lenient 120 over a much longer trip.

 

I picked the one for the leagues compo Stick..some top form in Irepand last year.

 

Charlie has 9 out tomorrow the most he's ever had by miles on a Saturday. I would be surprised if he had a winner but not heard anything.
Nettlebrush ew in the bumper at fairyhouse
Tarare wins so small fc

 

Vercingetorix F'house 2.15 should appreciate a return to a soft surface tomorrow. Elliot tried him highly through the Spring/Summer months and he racked up a succession of 2's in a row where he always seemed to get done in a finish or caught for toe when push came to shove. He is fairly treated here too and I feel he will give you a big run for your money on this ground tomorrow as he will hopefully be staying on strongly through the ground, he looks like a bit of a boat to be fair. He has blinkers applied first time too which is no harm. At 14/1 and with 16 currently standing their ground, he rates a good each way poke for me as of now.