Burnley were relatively slow starters ... and the highest wage earners are gone and few lesserso's you have to realise year one is the bounce year after that some players will be under contract on lesser wages as a result of being in championship?! THIS SEASO IS NOT A PP year! they are due the money for season 2022/23 .. next couple of years is PP's
This is third run through there is on reflection a negative bias on BCFC which manually checking through the "IMO" results [ random ] for BCFC / Huddersfield / Hull/ Sheff / Stoke / QPR fixtures shows up so BCFC could finish 6 points higher ... in grouping above. editted against SUPER C LEICESTER SOUTHAMPTON MIDDLESBRO............... 5 LEEDS............................. 7 NORWICH ..................... 9 WEST BROM.................. 15 7th COVENTRY ................... 11 13 points spread 3pts gap 8th MILLWALL .................. 6 3 pts gap 9th to 14th WATFORD .................... 21 BIRMINGHAM .............. 17 BLACKBURN................... 14 IPSWICH ........................ 13 SUNDERLAND ............... 10 STOKE .............................. 3 [ 7 pts spread ] 15th to 20th BRISTOL CITY ............... 4 SHEFF WED.................... 12 SWANSEA ...................... 19 HULL ............................. 22 CARDIFF ......................... 23 ROTHERHAM ................ 20 all on same points RELEGATION bottom 4 PLYMOUTH .................24 QPR ................................. 18 HUDDERSFIELD ........... 8 PRESTON ....................... 16 note from 15th to 20th is just 2 pts spread and 3 pts adrift bottom 4 on same points 4 pts adrift AFTER doing another random check on personal preference of City results Huddersfield/ PNE/ Stoke / Swansea/ Hull /Birmingham and BCFC would be slightly higher [city 6pts so ]
Wasn’t aware of that although I know they’ve sold the likes of Harvey Barnes and co If they’re that broke it might make things very interesting in the Championship
FINAL 4th TRANCHE there is a somewhat negative bias toward BCFC it could mean BCFC being some 6 -8 pts higher [ possible 6th place maximum ] my algorythm showed 20 points from the 30 for the 5 teams above this was reduced by 6 points. editted 7/4/24 LEICESTER 91 pts LEEDS 87 pts 4pts gap MIDDLESBRO SOUTHAMPTON NORWICH SUNDERLAND WEST BROM IPSWICH 6 points spread 3 pts gap 9th BLACKBURN 9th HULL 9th PRESTON 2pts gap 12th to 18th BIRMINGHAM BRISTOL CITY WATFORD STOKE CARDIFF COVENTRY MILLWALL [ 3 pts spread ] 19th QPR 19th PLYMOUTH 4pts gap HUDDERSFIELD SWANSEA ROTHERHAM SHEFF WED 2pts spread RELEGATION bottom 4
Thought I would revisit my predictions from SEPTEMBER 24TH TABLE .. it was fine tuned on the games played up to game 6 when at that point we had 9 points on the board. FROM TEAM IN THIRD IT PREDICTED 10 pts its actually 13! 15 points to team in 12th 18 points to 19th 22 points to 21st /22nd so division is "performing much as expected??" LEICESTER 91 pts ...................... 1 LEEDS 87 pts ............................ 4 4pts gap MIDDLESBRO .......................................... 13 SOUTHAMPTON ........................3 NORWICH ..................................................10 SUNDERLAND .......................... 6 WEST BROM .............................. 5 IPSWICH .................................... 2 6 points spread 3 pts gap 9th BLACKBURN ........................................ 15 9th HULL .................................................... 7 9th PRESTON ............................................... 8 2pts gap 12th to 18th BIRMINGHAM ........................................... 18 BRISTOL CITY ............................................ 8 WATFORD ................................................... 10 STOKE ........................................................ 18 CARDIFF .................................................... 10 COVENTRY ................................................. 13 MILLWALL ................................................. 20 [ 3 pts spread ] 19th QPR ..................................................... 22 19th PLYMOUTH ........................................ 16 4pts gap HUDDERSFIELD ......................................... 21 SWANSEA .................................................... 16 ROTHERHAM ............................................... 23 SHEFF WED .................................................. 23 2pts spread RELEGATION bottom 4
last night we played Brum 29th/12 ended 0 - 0 and how coincidental I published the prediction chart [ based on points ] which today stands at Bristol City FC 8th and Birmingham 18th. Looking at the listing it would appear that City/Brum/Watford are on the same points! [ at seasons end! ]
the change of manager didnt help! And I have a negative bias in the calculation for BCFC .. Recent results are turning the 2023/24 UPSIDE DOWN!!!!
12 O'Leary 19 Tanner 26 Vyner ....................Booked at 15mins 4 Naismith ..................Substituted for ................Kalasat ................ 64'minutes 16 Pring 8 Williams .............Substituted for ..............Weimann ......................at 64'minutes 6 James ..................Substituted for ..............King .............................at 85'minutes 17 Sykes 7 Scott 20 Bell ....................Substituted for .................Mehmeti .....................at 63'minutes 15 Conway ...............Substituted for ..................Wells ..........................at 64'minutes when was this line up?
12 O'Leary 19 Tanner 26 Vyner ....................Booked at 15mins 4 Naismith ..................Substituted for ................Kalasat ................ 64'minutes 16 Pring 8 Williams .............Substituted for ..............Weimann ......................at 64'minutes 6 James ..................Substituted for ..............King .............................at 85'minutes 17 Sykes 7 Scott 20 Bell ....................Substituted for .................Mehmeti .....................at 63'minutes 15 Conway ...............Substituted for ..................Wells ..........................at 64'minutes the answer was the last team of last season missing at the moment just 4 of those players , Wiles Richards and Cornick only 2 not to feature
Allowing for the spread adjustments can be quite happy with the end result LEICESTER 91 pts ...................... 1................................................ 1 LEEDS 87 pts ............................ 4,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 3 4pts gap MIDDLESBRO .......................................... 13 ............................... 8 SOUTHAMPTON ........................3 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 4 NORWICH ..................................................10 .............................. 6 SUNDERLAND .......................... 6 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 16 WEST BROM .............................. 5 ............................................... 5 IPSWICH .................................... 2 .............................................. 2 6 points spread 3 pts gap 9th BLACKBURN ........................................ 15 ........................... 19 9th HULL .................................................... 7 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 7 9th PRESTON ............................................... 8 ......................... 10 2pts gap 12th to 18th BIRMINGHAM ........................................... 18 ........................... 22 BRISTOL CITY ............................................ 8 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 11 WATFORD ................................................... 10 ......................... 15 STOKE ........................................................ 18 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 17 CARDIFF .................................................... 10 ........................... 12 COVENTRY ................................................. 13 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 9 MILLWALL ................................................. 20 ......................... 13 [ 3 pts spread ] 19th QPR ..................................................... 22 ........................... 18 19th PLYMOUTH ........................................ 16 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 21 4pts gap HUDDERSFIELD ......................................... 21 ........................ 23 SWANSEA .................................................... 16 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 14 ROTHERHAM ............................................... 23 ...................... 24 SHEFF WED .................................................. 23 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 20