HOW WILL THE CHAMPIONSHIP 2023/24 END

Burnley were relatively slow starters ... and the highest wage earners are gone and few lesserso's you have to realise year one is the bounce year after that some players will be under contract on lesser wages as a result of being in championship?!
THIS SEASO IS NOT A PP year! they are due the money for season 2022/23 .. next couple of years is PP's

 

This is third run through there is on reflection a negative bias on BCFC which manually checking through the "IMO" results [ random ] for BCFC / Huddersfield / Hull/ Sheff / Stoke / QPR fixtures shows up so BCFC could finish 6 points higher ... in grouping above. editted against SUPER C

LEICESTER
SOUTHAMPTON

MIDDLESBRO............... 5
LEEDS............................. 7
NORWICH ..................... 9
WEST BROM.................. 15
7th COVENTRY ................... 11
13 points spread

3pts gap
8th MILLWALL .................. 6
3 pts gap

9th to 14th
WATFORD .................... 21
BIRMINGHAM .............. 17
BLACKBURN................... 14
IPSWICH ........................ 13
SUNDERLAND ............... 10
STOKE .............................. 3
[ 7 pts spread ]

15th to 20th
BRISTOL CITY ............... 4
SHEFF WED.................... 12
SWANSEA ...................... 19
HULL ............................. 22
CARDIFF ......................... 23
ROTHERHAM ................ 20


all on same points
RELEGATION bottom 4
PLYMOUTH .................24
QPR ................................. 18
HUDDERSFIELD ........... 8
PRESTON ....................... 16

note from 15th to 20th is just 2 pts spread and 3 pts adrift
bottom 4 on same points 4 pts adrift

AFTER doing another random check on personal preference of City results Huddersfield/ PNE/ Stoke / Swansea/ Hull /Birmingham and BCFC would be slightly higher [city 6pts so ]

 

Wasn’t aware of that although I know they’ve sold the likes of Harvey Barnes and co
If they’re that broke it might make things very interesting in the Championship

 

FINAL 4th TRANCHE
there is a somewhat negative bias toward BCFC it could mean BCFC being
some 6 -8 pts higher [ possible 6th place maximum ] my algorythm showed 20 points from the 30 for the 5 teams above this was reduced by 6 points. editted 7/4/24

LEICESTER 91 pts
LEEDS 87 pts

4pts gap

MIDDLESBRO
SOUTHAMPTON
NORWICH
SUNDERLAND
WEST BROM
IPSWICH
6 points spread

3 pts gap

9th BLACKBURN
9th HULL
9th PRESTON

2pts gap

12th to 18th

BIRMINGHAM
BRISTOL CITY
WATFORD
STOKE
CARDIFF
COVENTRY
MILLWALL

[ 3 pts spread ]

19th QPR
19th PLYMOUTH

4pts gap

HUDDERSFIELD
SWANSEA
ROTHERHAM
SHEFF WED

2pts spread
RELEGATION bottom 4

 

Thought I would revisit my predictions from SEPTEMBER 24TH TABLE .. it was fine tuned on the games played up to game 6 when at that point we had 9 points on the board.
FROM TEAM IN THIRD IT PREDICTED 10 pts its actually 13!

15 points to team in 12th
18 points to 19th
22 points to 21st /22nd
so division is "performing much as expected??"

LEICESTER 91 pts ...................... 1
LEEDS 87 pts ............................ 4

4pts gap

MIDDLESBRO .......................................... 13
SOUTHAMPTON ........................3
NORWICH ..................................................10
SUNDERLAND .......................... 6
WEST BROM .............................. 5
IPSWICH .................................... 2
6 points spread

3 pts gap

9th BLACKBURN ........................................ 15
9th HULL .................................................... 7
9th PRESTON ............................................... 8

2pts gap

12th to 18th

BIRMINGHAM ........................................... 18
BRISTOL CITY ............................................ 8
WATFORD ................................................... 10
STOKE ........................................................ 18
CARDIFF .................................................... 10
COVENTRY ................................................. 13
MILLWALL ................................................. 20
[ 3 pts spread ]

19th QPR ..................................................... 22
19th PLYMOUTH ........................................ 16

4pts gap

HUDDERSFIELD ......................................... 21
SWANSEA .................................................... 16
ROTHERHAM ............................................... 23
SHEFF WED .................................................. 23

2pts spread
RELEGATION bottom 4

 

last night we played Brum 29th/12 ended 0 - 0 and how coincidental I published the prediction chart [ based on points ] which today stands at Bristol City FC 8th and Birmingham 18th.
Looking at the listing it would appear that City/Brum/Watford are on the same points! [ at seasons end! ]

 

the change of manager didnt help! And I have a negative bias in the calculation for BCFC .. Recent results are turning the 2023/24 UPSIDE DOWN!!!!

 

• 12 O'Leary
• 19 Tanner
• 26 Vyner ....................Booked at 15mins
• 4 Naismith ..................Substituted for ................Kalasat ................ 64'minutes
• 16 Pring
• 8 Williams .............Substituted for ..............Weimann ......................at 64'minutes
• 6 James ..................Substituted for ..............King .............................at 85'minutes
• 17 Sykes
• 7 Scott
• 20 Bell ....................Substituted for .................Mehmeti .....................at 63'minutes
• 15 Conway ...............Substituted for ..................Wells ..........................at 64'minutes

when was this line up?

 

In answer to the thread title, usually when all the teams have completed their 46 games.

 

• 12 O'Leary
• 19 Tanner
• 26 Vyner ....................Booked at 15mins
• 4 Naismith ..................Substituted for ................Kalasat ................ 64'minutes
• 16 Pring
• 8 Williams .............Substituted for ..............Weimann ......................at 64'minutes
• 6 James ..................Substituted for ..............King .............................at 85'minutes
• 17 Sykes
• 7 Scott
• 20 Bell ....................Substituted for .................Mehmeti .....................at 63'minutes
• 15 Conway ...............Substituted for ..................Wells ..........................at 64'minutes

the answer was the last team of last season missing at the moment just 4 of those players , Wiles Richards and Cornick only 2 not to feature

 

Allowing for the spread adjustments can be quite happy with the end result

LEICESTER 91 pts ...................... 1................................................ 1
LEEDS 87 pts ............................ 4,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 3

4pts gap

MIDDLESBRO .......................................... 13 ............................... 8
SOUTHAMPTON ........................3 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 4
NORWICH ..................................................10 .............................. 6
SUNDERLAND .......................... 6 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 16
WEST BROM .............................. 5 ............................................... 5
IPSWICH .................................... 2 .............................................. 2
6 points spread

3 pts gap

9th BLACKBURN ........................................ 15 ........................... 19
9th HULL .................................................... 7 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 7
9th PRESTON ............................................... 8 ......................... 10

2pts gap

12th to 18th

BIRMINGHAM ........................................... 18 ........................... 22
BRISTOL CITY ............................................ 8 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 11
WATFORD ................................................... 10 ......................... 15
STOKE ........................................................ 18 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 17
CARDIFF .................................................... 10 ........................... 12
COVENTRY ................................................. 13 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 9
MILLWALL ................................................. 20 ......................... 13
[ 3 pts spread ]

19th QPR ..................................................... 22 ........................... 18
19th PLYMOUTH ........................................ 16 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 21

4pts gap

HUDDERSFIELD ......................................... 21 ........................ 23
SWANSEA .................................................... 16 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 14
ROTHERHAM ............................................... 23 ...................... 24
SHEFF WED .................................................. 23 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 20