Daily Racing Thread Monday 29th. June 2020

Monday's Meetings

Yarmouth
Flat 8 Races 12:00-3:30p.m.
Limerick
Flat 8 Races 1:10-4:45p.m.
Windsor
Flat 8 Races 1:50-5:20p.m.
Thirsk(E)
Flat 10 Races 4:30-9:00p.m.
Kilbeggan(E)
N/H 8 Races 4:35-8:15p.m.

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Sporting Life

Good Luck

 

Call me mad, but 6:30 Constant looks an interesting horse and at 33/1 he looks overpriced.

Right, firstly his form is shocking, there is no doubt about that, but this is a horse who has clearly had issues and he is a horse who has a few upsides tomorrow.

1 - He gets Tudhope back in the saddle. The last time they paired up, he ran a 5 length 5th off a mark of 81! I think this jockey is most likely to get a tune out of this horse and for me he is a massive upgrade on Shane Gray, who nearly fell off when the stalls opened last time!!
2 - His handicap mark. Down to 61 here, and that should give him a better chance of being involved, this is a horse who was rated 85 at one point, and whilst his form hasn't been anywhere near good enough, the handicapper keeps taking chunks off, and if something clicks, then he surely could be feasibly treated.
3 - Blinkers are added for the first time. This could make him into a sharper individual, perhaps more resolute. Either that or he might completely hate them and regress further!!
4 - He has had a run this season. He didn't travel badly on his return, and nothing managed to pick up from the rear. He missed the start, when Gray nearly came off, and then was given an easy time when it was clear they were too far back and the pace wasn't going to collapse.
5 - The pace is potentially extreme here. This field looks set to be full of front runners and pace pushers. If the pace collapses, then he is one of the very few who should be coming from off the pace. This might give him an advantage.

 

Morning

4.30 Thirsk-Tatsthewaytodoit

Each Way @ 28-1 [Bet 365]

Could surprise

 

Yarmouth 2.00 Quickstep Lady 4/1

Only bet for me today, form nothing special but she seems to be progressing with each run and should put her experience to use here, pedigree suggests she should prefer the faster ground today and Murphy is a class above his main opponents which should also help.

 

are you not worried about it’s RPR of 86?

 

ALVEDA 10/1 Windsor 4:20
This really doesnt look the strongest race of its type for this track and George Margarson's filly has improved with leaps and bounds on each run. She reopposes Bythebay today who was the short favourite when they met at Lingfield before the lockdown and despite being 5lb worse off for 3/4L a quick look at the race should show you all you need to know.
The favourite is short because of connections and supposed potential but the form of the last run has already taken a big knock with the runner up finishing out with the washing next time out.
The selection is highly progressive and I actually think this track will suit her better than Lingfield with its short run in. She is real value at 10/1.

 

I'm going to take a risk with Risk Taker, Windsor 1620 @ 11/2

 

oh, now a NR

 

Appears that running was a risk they weren’t willing to take.

 

They looked on here and shat themselves

 

Better than a QPR of 86? (Oh dear, sorry, that was awful. Monday should not be affecting me any more, but appears it is...

 

was that the last time they were half decent?

 

Yes, Nass, they're not even 'half decent' nowadays. Just cannot seem to score, cannot blame their defence?

Oh for the good old days! Yes, there were some!

 

Don't often do this sort of bet, but today I'll have a bash with an e/w 'Patent'. Prices are as per Oddschecker at time of writing:

16:30 Thirsk - Lost My Sock @ 4/1
18:30 Thirsk - Gullane One @ 10/1
20:00 Thirsk - Upstaging @ 11/1

Best of luck today fellas if you have a wager or two!

 

Now 16/1

 

Timeform think so also stick


Just having a quick look at that race, you would think she would be one of the favs

 

Hope all is well with ye all I haven't been on with a while.

4.10 Limerick Penny Out a big run expected.

 

I’ve backed Alibaba in that so that’s one less for Stick to worry about. Ping out, make all.

 

Also like Thowq at Yarmouth 2pm 7-1 on the exchange