Season compass 2020-21

Discussion in 'Tottenham Hotspur' started by The RDBD, Aug 20, 2020.

  1. humanbeingincroydon

    humanbeingincroydon Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 28, 2011
    Messages:
    42,036
    Likes Received:
    18,078
    Training also has the advantage of nobody trying to clatter players when they're out there

    ...except, based on various suggestions, for players at teams managed by Graeme Souness
     
    #61
  2. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    Dashboard updated (PL) .
     
    #62
  3. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    So, a third of the PL season gone, and Spurs are +7 pts on the "like for like" .
    Or effectively two more wins and one more draw per 13 games.

    IMHO that is a modest expectation on improvement, and would
    see a finish on 80 pts.
     
    #63
  4. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    PL (like for like with 2019-20 after 14 games) :

    Pts = 4 GF = 6, GA = 0.
     
    #64
  5. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    Dashboard updated (League cup) .
     
    #65
  6. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    PL (like for like with 2019-20 after 15 games) :

    Pts = 2 GF = 5, GA = 0.
     
    #66
  7. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    Dashboard updated (fixtures) .
     
    #67
  8. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    PL (like for like with 2019-20 after 17 games) : Pts = 2, GF = 5, GA = -2.

    Leeds paired with Bournemouth on the like for like.
     
    #68
    Last edited: Feb 7, 2021
  9. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    Dashboard updated (League cup) .
     
    #69
  10. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    Dashboard updated (fixtures) .
     
    #70
    Last edited: Jan 11, 2021

  11. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    PL (like for like with 2019-20 after 18 games) : Pts = 2, GF = 5, GA = -2.

    Fulham paired with Watford on the like for like.
     
    #71
    Last edited: Feb 7, 2021
  12. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    PL (like for like with 2019-20 after 19 games) : Pts = 5, GF = 7, GA = -4.
     
    #72
    Last edited: Feb 7, 2021
    PleaseNotPoll likes this.
  13. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    Half-term review time ...

    HTR1) PL

    So we come to the effective midway point of the PL season
    (done so as god knows when the Villa away game will be played) .

    Statistical "key performance indicators" (KPI) that have high
    correlation with a team that finishes PL top 4 are :

    1. GA in the 30s
    2. GD in the 30s
    3. Win at least half the away games


    So on that basis, the "season compass" end of season projection is :

    - Pts = 69
    - GA = 39
    - GD = 36
    - away wins = 10


    All the projected measures are in line with the KPIs (GA barely :( ) .

    The question is whether a total of 69 pts will be enough to finish 4th.
    The Corona chaos of last season meant the total was 66,
    but unclear as to whether it have a similar effect in lowering
    the required total.


    HTR2) Cups

    Europa league : last 32 (seeded) .
    League cup : finalists.
    FA cup : R4.

    Nothing better that could be done on these fronts other than
    better results in some EL games (and hence more UEFA ranking pts) .


    HTR3) Way forward

    Other than Jose showing much better squad management,
    the PL defence needs to tighten up a bit more.

    The cup competitions are now on a per-opponent basis (depending on
    the fixture draws) . I do not believe that the EL group stage starting
    XIs can carry Spurs to the QF stage, without needing a fair amount
    of the strongest PL starting XIs included.
     
    #73
  14. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    Dashboard updated (FA cup) .
     
    #74
  15. PowerSpurs

    PowerSpurs Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 15, 2011
    Messages:
    8,527
    Likes Received:
    2,979
    Last season there were only 12 PL matches where Lloris, Kane and Son played most of the game. We got 24 points in those matches, that is exactly 2 points a match. In most of those matches Winks and Sissoko played in midfield. When any of Lloris, Kane and Son didn’t play we got 35 points from 26 games. Only about 1.35 points per game.

    This year, Lloris, Kane and Son have played most of the match in all our PL games. We’ve got 33 points from 18 matches. So we are slightly worse than last year. The main difference in personnel from last year is that Hojbjerg has also played all of them, usually instead of Sissoko or Winks. So there is no evidence that Hojbjerg is am upgrade at all.

    Interestingly, from those players who have started more than half the matches, the one who has the biggest positive impact is Ndombele who is averaging nearly 2.1 points per match and the biggest negative impact is Aurier, who is on 1.6 points.
     
    #75
  16. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    PL (like for like with 2019-20 after match week 20, 19 games played) : Pts = 5, GF = 8, GA = -2.
     
    #76
    Last edited: Feb 7, 2021
  17. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    PL (like for like with 2019-20 after match week 21, 20 games played) : Pts = 5, GF = 8, GA = -4.
     
    #77
    Last edited: Feb 7, 2021
  18. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    Dashboard updated (PL + fixtures) .
     
    #78
  19. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    PL (like for like with 2019-20 after match week 22, 21 games played) : Pts = 5, GF = 8, GA = -5.
     
    #79
    Last edited: Feb 7, 2021
  20. The RDBD

    The RDBD Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,042
    Likes Received:
    9,589
    PL (like for like with 2019-20 after match week 23, 22 games played) : Pts = 5, GF = 8, GA = -6.
     
    #80
    Last edited: Feb 7, 2021

Share This Page