The 2016 Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase 3 miles and half a furlong, with 19 fences to be jumped, is the challenge facing the runners in the first handicap of the festival, the 3rd race on Tuesday. A number of horses may end up running here as a Grand National prep so are perhaps best watched, but a horse needs to see out the trip very well to be winning this and clearly jumping at pace will be required. I’ve listed the last 10 winners below with their BHA rating, 6 out of 10 were rated between 142 and 146 but 4 winners have been right down the bottom of the weights in the 128-132 range. Top weight this year in the initial weights is Sausalito Sunrise who is rated 163, 5lbs clear of Wonderful Charm. Previous Winners With BHA Rating 2015 The Druids Nephew 146 2014 Holywell 145 2013 Golden Chieftain 132 2012 Alfie Sherrin 128 2011 Bensalem 143 2010 Chief Dan George 142 2009 Wichita Lineman 142 2008 An Accordion 143 2007 Joes Edge 130 2006 Dun Doire 129 The betting is currently very open, as one would expect, and it probably makes sense to wait until final declarations or even 3 minutes before the off before getting involved. Latest Prices from Oddschecker Personally the race has been tainted with agony for me over the last few years, real seconditis with an e/w on Ma Filleule at 33s (2nd to Holywell) and a win bet on Carole's Legacy (just touched off by Bensalem). I also tipped up Golden Chieftain but was stuck at Frankfurt Airport due to snow the whole Tuesday and couldn't get a bet on I like another Tizzard runner, Theatre Guide, at this stage.
Amazingly open. Take out Out Sam and there is no less than 30 horses quoted between 10/1 and 16/1, 7 of which are quoted 12/1 or less. Congratulations to whoever gets this race right.
It makes the bottom of the handicap around 10st 8 on my book. I like Spring Heeled at the bottom of the weights, look at his festival record.
Weights would go up and it'd be such a compact handicap. Wondered if they might run in a stakes race or wait for Aintree.
I think you just answered my question before I asked it Nass. The reverse of one of the "2 Ronnies" sketches.
1 that i am interested in is Beg To Differ. It may be a struggle for him off 143 to get into the race with Sausalito Sunrise running but if he get in he has a lovely weight of 10st 6lb. Jonjo has a great record in the race winning with Holywell 2 years ago and Alfie Sherrin 2 years before that. Is an unexposed improver and had a good 2nd at the gold cup trip in January. Big chance at 20/1 NRNB i believe.
143 would see him running in a normal year tward, plenty of those above him will be coming out. Good spot
Looks like I'm with Oddy on this one as I too like Theatre Guide... No bet as of yet but I will wait till the day... Currently 14/1...
Fingal Bay ew @ 16s. Has run nicely in decent races throughout this campaign whilst still managing to reduce his mark to 141. 2 years ago he edged a thriller in the Pertemps off 148. He'll do for me. The danger is Spring Heeled.
Been a bit of a cliff horse for me over the years Chan and, even though I had him down as a future Gold Cup candidate in his novice hurdle days, I don't think he is as effective over fences for whatever reason. Good luck with him
I'm sure I was on Indian Castle e/w in this last year when he came 4th. He runs of a 5lbs lower mark this year ...................... I'll have talked myself into backing half the field within an hour
The joys of having Monday off before the festival, you feel confident about your selections for other people to make you question youself constantly.
Stats posted by Woolly on the preview night: 12 of the last 15 winners carried less than 11st to victory. There has not been a winner rated higher than 150 for thirty years plus. 11 of the last 15 winners were amongst the top four in the betting. Novices have won four of the last nine runnings All points to Out Sam