Daily Racing Thread Thursday 14th. Feb. 2019

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by attivo, Feb 13, 2019 at 12:46 PM.

  1. attivo

    attivo Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 23, 2014
    Messages:
    2,657
    Likes Received:
    1,217
    #1
  2. Grendel

    Grendel Active Member

    Joined:
    Oct 1, 2018
    Messages:
    302
    Likes Received:
    147
    Sweet Jesus. The Malcolm Jefferson Memorial Chase at Kelso has TWO runners chasing the 15 grand prize. What an insult.

    The next you will hear is someone moaning about the lack of opportunities for their horses.

    What a pointless exercise all round.
     
    #2
    mallafets123 likes this.
  3. rudebwoy

    rudebwoy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 20, 2013
    Messages:
    3,359
    Likes Received:
    1,366
    this hiatus with the flu rules has caused havoc with entries/ runners though
     
    #3
  4. ChelseaCOE2012

    ChelseaCOE2012 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 2012
    Messages:
    2,855
    Likes Received:
    1,190
  5. Denny4

    Denny4 Active Member

    Joined:
    Jul 31, 2018
    Messages:
    192
    Likes Received:
    76
    8:30 Chelmsford - Squire 5/1 Win. I think today could be the day that Squire gets his head back in front. His last two runs have shown that he still has plenty to offer. A win and two places at the track for this yard and today is the day for his next win. I also like the jockey booking. The other two I looked closely at are Mullarkey and then obviolusy the favourite Zorawar. I've felt Mullarkey had been due a win for a while but I missed him when he actually broke his losing streak last time out and although that could spark a run of form finally getting his head in front, to me he doesn't stand out as a likely type to follow up straight away. I don't think he's done winning just yet I just don't think it'll be today. And the favourite Zorawar, the first negative against him is that he's on a hattrick which is always difficult to pull off even at this level, he's drawn out wide and personally I just think his price is ridiculously short in this field. None of that means he won't win, they're just things that put me off backing him.
     
    #5
  6. floridaspearl

    floridaspearl Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 19, 2013
    Messages:
    2,073
    Likes Received:
    923
    I like the trip always thought the mile was a bit sharp. I’d like to see him at a mile and a half.
     
    #6
  7. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,413
    Likes Received:
    4,953
    Is stick out there?

    Wondered what you thought about Blazer's Mill in the Fontwell bumper today? Clearly expected to win easily (currently 4/11) but might he be one for Cheltenham? His P2P second to Birchdale reads very well and you' think he'd have plenty of stamina for the hill. I can't find him quoted for the Champion Bumper but he wouldn't be the first Fontwell bumper winner to win the big one ;)
     
    #7
  8. floridaspearl

    floridaspearl Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 19, 2013
    Messages:
    2,073
    Likes Received:
    923
    Mylittlerunaway ?
     
    #8
  9. Ste D

    Ste D Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 8, 2011
    Messages:
    4,898
    Likes Received:
    1,816
    Clonmel 3.15- Bee A Beneficiary win 6/1
     
    #9
    Ekbalco99 likes this.
  10. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,413
    Likes Received:
    4,953
    Probably only the weight to recommend her?
     
    #10

  11. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,413
    Likes Received:
    4,953
    Waiting Patiently has been declared for the Ascot Chase. Looks a very good renewal with Aso, Charbel, Fox Norton and the 2 Nicholls horses in there. All six rated in excess of 160 this looks a Grade 1 with depth. Can't wait <ok>
     
    #11
  12. Grendel

    Grendel Active Member

    Joined:
    Oct 1, 2018
    Messages:
    302
    Likes Received:
    147
    I don't think that was the issue here. There were nine or ten entries I think. The reason I was looking was that Lake View Lad was among the entries and he is my Grand National early pick. Lake View Lad is also entered in a Hurdle race at the weekend and I suppose ducking a clash with Definitely Red at the trip today was probably wise, it still seems a pathetic turn out from the original entries for a decent race named after a worthy figure.

    1/5 Fav Definitely Red will not give punters much to get excited about and we won't garner much regarding his Gold Cup prospect unless it is an unlikely negative.
     
    #12
  13. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,413
    Likes Received:
    4,953
    #13
  14. rudebwoy

    rudebwoy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 20, 2013
    Messages:
    3,359
    Likes Received:
    1,366
    This is a schooling session for both horses , particularly for the favourite, Danny cook won't go for everything, nice earnings for both for such an event , shame but that's racing ,

    In the race after Lord Wishes is a massive price 18/1, seems an insult
    4 45 chelms ford Emigrated for in form derrick Shaw is a sporting ew also 20/1
     
    #14
  15. CaptainPops

    CaptainPops Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 7, 2013
    Messages:
    1,212
    Likes Received:
    325
    Do you think Waiting Forever (Sorry Patiently) will actually run Oddy? Not much rain about...
     
    #15
  16. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    22,413
    Likes Received:
    4,953
    HAS to in my opinion - defending his crown and all that. They don't like Cheltenham and Aintree may already be too firm for him, they now have nothing else to go for. Turftrax map looks OK:

    upload_2019-2-14_14-1-56.png
     
    #16
    CaptainPops likes this.
  17. CaptainPops

    CaptainPops Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 7, 2013
    Messages:
    1,212
    Likes Received:
    325
    Not that much kudos for me this race and hopefully the horse will have an opportunity to show us the superstar he is one day. Personally for me the trainer is wrapping this horse up in cotton wool far too much...

    Fingers crossed he does run on Saturday along with all the others as looks a cracking race in prospect.:emoticon-0148-yes:
     
    #17
    OddDog likes this.
  18. jumpsfan

    jumpsfan Active Member

    Joined:
    May 27, 2018
    Messages:
    706
    Likes Received:
    143
    hi fellas!

    kelso,1 55:

    MY OLD GOLD and blue flight have already met this season,where the former won and the latter was third that day.but NTDs inmate has gone up 6 lbr for a good win last time out,and my choice only 4 lbr for her win last time out,so she looks a bit better treated now.both are still rather unexposed,so it could be a close call,but i think,MY OLD GOLD will win today..
     
    #18
  19. Grendel

    Grendel Active Member

    Joined:
    Oct 1, 2018
    Messages:
    302
    Likes Received:
    147
    The 2.40 at Clonmel is a competitive affair with several of the field stepping up markedly in distance to the 3 miles of the Grade 3 Novice Hurdle.

    Swordsman ran in a Grade 2 last time and he is top rated on official rankings here. He was beaten a long way in that Moscow Flyer Novices Hurdle though and it didn't look that day as if another mile would have helped.

    Allaho is the magic Walsh/Mullins combination but he's very hard to evaluate as an ex French horse with a 4th place in a Bumper on his sole start for the Mullins yard. Could be anything but at 5/1 it's guesswork as to his abilty for now.

    Cool Saint fell last time when it was likely that she would have won. That was only a three runner race though and and one of her opponents had already departed before she fell herself. Her previous win was in a Maiden Hurdle and it wasn't a great contest.

    Cappucimix is interesting and vying for favouritism here after winning his sole start at this track. He won a maiden hurdle last time over just shy of 2 and a half miles and steps up to 3m for the stable who landed this race last season. Entered in the Albert Bartlett, he'll need to improve on that modest looking form to win here and become a contender at Cheltenham. He could well do so but he's keenly priced in an open looking affair.

    Eurobot is 2/2 and has won at the trip twice but that was an awful affair he won last time beating a horse rated 24 lbs lower than Swordsman. That race has worked out woefully and Eurobot needs a lot more today. He makes no appeal to me.

    Minella Indo was 3rd in a maiden last time and may be suited by stepping up to this trip. He seems to have had faith behind him in the betting and again today he seems popular at 11/2 in the betting. However he has a bit to find with the better rated ones here in a stronger race than last time. That last race has not worked out well and he's far too short for me to be interested.

    Vanellope is the rank outsider here but not totally disregarded. The mare has run in contests where some winners have at least come out of them later. Fell last time when getting involved in the finish of a Handicap race, she looks as if 3 miles will be fine and although she needs to improve she is unexposed at this trip and I had a small each-way at 33/1 because I felt that was too big compared to others with similar chances today.

    My main bet was on Moskovite, who won a Handicap last time out. On Racing Post figures she is highest rated on adjusted marks today. That was just a Mares race she won but it has some solidity to it and it is possible she may find further improvement from that career best upped in trip. She won a point to point at three miles but was later disqualified. I felt she had promise of more to come and others here have acheived less so far. At 11/2 I felt Moskovite was better value than some here and she has a chance if lasting out the longer trip.

    2.40 Clonmel Moskovite 11/2 and small saver Vanellope 33/1 EW
     
    #19
  20. mallafets123

    mallafets123 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2016
    Messages:
    616
    Likes Received:
    326
    Not sure if i put this up earlier,

    De Ja Vue - 3.45 fontwell.
     
    #20
    rudebwoy likes this.

Share This Page